Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Polymarket Trader
0xAa0087A48fE68fA6602E48928ad43a311e958Aab-1773510102978
0xaa0087a48fe68fa6602e48928ad43a311e958aab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.9
- Realized PnL
- $58.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $3.48
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo position
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?Yes 33% 3.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?Yes 99.7% 1.75 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.7% 2.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?No 55% 1.82 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?No 83% 1.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 92.9% 1.21 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 82% 1.22 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?No 84% 1.19 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?No 99.9% 2.77 shares