Polymarket Trader

markdorf

0xaa019d8c084f145387379fcb9e151b099e433866

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.9K
Realized PnL: $363.31
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $731.25
Potential payout: $32.5K
Potential profit: $31.77K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $471.25

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $974.83
Potential payout: $16.38K
Potential profit: $15.41K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $624.86

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $5.18K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $191
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $838.66
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $69.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.39

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.3

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.07

Yes position

Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 1,029.66 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 13,157.89 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 31,250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Up 76% 41.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Up 60% 41.67 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 4,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Down 16.7% 17.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Down 57% 17.02 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Yes 99.8% 172.41 shares
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 14% 178.57 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Yes 4.9% 205.92 shares