Polymarket Trader

0xAa022FD67cD14CD9BBa648558386F4180BAD1df8-1766516087532

0xaa022fd67cd14cd9bba648558386f4180bad1df8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.15
Realized PnL: $16.84
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.8
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Beyoncé be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.36
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $75.49
Potential profit: $58.69
Multiplier: 4.49x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.08
Potential profit: $30.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $12.24
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Beyoncé release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $7.16
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $3.37
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $9.93
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.27
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.31
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $3.93
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $4.77
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.11
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $3.8
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $2.9
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 36.3%
Multiplier: 2.76x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will PCC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 9.7% 10.3 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 0.5% 400 shares
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?

Yes 28.1% 6.41 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 25.6% 5.08 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 98.6% 1.35 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?

Yes 10.3% 21.53 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 28.2% 3.55 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 28.2% 3.55 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 93% 3.54 shares
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 3.3% 30.08 shares