Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.5K
- User PnL
- -$55.99
Polymarket Trader
0xaA05715849BBc4C6211d3eD8690345cCE5204908-1759612905506
0xaa05715849bbc4c6211d3ed8690345cce5204908
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.75
- Realized PnL
- $75.4
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$184.99
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.97
- Potential profit
- $199.97
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.02
- Potential profit
- $142.02
- User PnL
- -$4.33
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $59
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $27.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $22.75
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $15.25
Yes position
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.3
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.2
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.37
Yes position
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 9?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Yes position
Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.71
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?Yes 3.7% 7.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?Yes 3.5% 41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?Yes 3.4% 34 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No 24% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No 24% 89.1 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No 8% 150 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No 24% 50 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No 18% 150 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 5.6% 600 shares
- Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?Yes 19% 100 shares
- Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 6.9% 600 shares