Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $76.14
- Potential payout
- $564.01
- Potential profit
- $487.87
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$75.36
Polymarket Trader
0xAa0Ae96C860705D1330c691e81db33E3cc0B8283-1779351951230
0xaa0ae96c860705d1330c691e81db33e3cc0b8283
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.92
- Realized PnL
- -$8.42
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.88
- Potential profit
- $299.88
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $17.53
- Potential payout
- $129.85
- Potential profit
- $112.32
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.17
- Potential profit
- $70.17
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $10.25
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $45.31
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.1
- Potential profit
- $38.1
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.59
- Potential profit
- $14.59
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $11.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp 21% 23.81 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 150 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 48% 75.75 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 52.5% 38.1 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 12.7% 102.18 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32.9% 60.85 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 20% 50 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 13.5% 37.04 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 13.2% 15.15 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 344.83 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 98.8% 145 shares