Polymarket Trader

dfr4

0xaa0d81032b6bdb835d28640a834591c0ec6e9ad2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $807.82
Realized PnL: $3.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $409.31
Potential payout: $521.42
Potential profit: $112.1
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$22.89

No position

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $246
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $54
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $152.51
Potential payout: $166.68
Potential profit: $14.17
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $15.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will Pablo Fornals be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.86

Yes position

Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $91.91

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $69.98

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Yes position

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.54

No position

Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.03

No position

Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

No position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.26

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.58

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

No position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.1

Yes position

Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.56

Yes position

Will Ruben Amorim be the next manager of AC Milan?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26

Yes position

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.04

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $9

No position

Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Marco Silva be the next manager of Benfica?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Yes position

Will Thomas Meunier be in Belgium's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Yes position

Will Fabinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3% 12,143.73 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 16,666.66 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 16,666.67 shares
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 78.1% 100 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 3,020.51 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.2% 3,020.51 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 10,272.35 shares
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 75% 300 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 27,272.73 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 45,679.36 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 15,000 shares
Will Thomas Meunier be in Belgium's Starting 11?

Yes 96.5% 137.89 shares