Polymarket Trader

piercemorganz

0xaa1074e7ddaa1b53a17b79d0b5bf88735231d04c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $742.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.97
Potential profit: $300.97
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.97
Potential profit: $300.97
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.95
Potential profit: $300.95
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.93
Potential profit: $300.93
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.91
Potential profit: $300.91
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.88
Potential profit: $300.88
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.88
Potential profit: $300.88
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.86
Potential profit: $300.86
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.86
Potential profit: $300.86
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.86
Potential profit: $300.86
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.83
Potential profit: $300.83
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.82
Potential profit: $300.82
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.76
Potential profit: $300.76
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.76
Potential profit: $300.76
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.76
Potential profit: $300.76
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.75
Potential profit: $300.75
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.74
Potential profit: $300.74
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.72
Potential profit: $300.72
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.69
Potential profit: $300.69
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.68
Potential profit: $300.68
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.66
Potential profit: $300.66
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.63
Potential profit: $300.63
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.62
Potential profit: $300.62
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.62
Potential profit: $300.62
User PnL: -$3.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.01

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on September 22?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.19

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on September 25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Optimus" during earnings call?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $250 on September 13?

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 3?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Luxembourg win on 2025-10-10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on December 23?

No 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on December 23?

No 99.9% 85.08 shares
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

No 99.1% 90.81 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 22?

No 99.9% 45.04 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 15-21?

No 99.4% 40.24 shares
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 99.6% 50.2 shares
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on December 21?

No 99.9% 55.05 shares
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 15-21 be less than 17,500,000?

No 99.9% 120.12 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 20?

Yes 99.9% 45.04 shares
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 20?

No 99.8% 75.15 shares
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 42.0 on December 19, 2025?

No 99.9% 45.04 shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on December 19?

Yes 99.8% 45.09 shares