Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $111.48
- Potential payout
- $4.74K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $73.53
Polymarket Trader
renko-554
0xaa17256e8f119fd5522880e7ed7c751d8d1faf08
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $111.48
- Realized PnL
- -$99.37
- Win rate
- 10%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Bolsonaro guilty?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$48.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.8% 4,743.75 shares
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 5% 811.69 shares
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 11% 811.69 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes 0.2% 36.14 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes 8.3% 36.14 shares
- Bolsonaro guilty?No 20% 17.76 shares
- Bolsonaro guilty?No 19% 5.26 shares
- Bolsonaro guilty?No 16% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?Down 37% 13.51 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on June 10?Yes 31% 12.9 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on June 10?Yes 23% 17.39 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 10?Yes 16% 31.25 shares