No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $5.83K
- Potential payout
- $6.7K
- Potential profit
- $870.84
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$206.01
Polymarket Trader
Milktoast
0xaa2b8b831c8fc74942ac2d748c6bc8eacaf25b75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.47K
- Realized PnL
- $10.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $5.08K
- Potential payout
- $5.31K
- Potential profit
- $222.87
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $656.58
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.37K
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $206.14
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $145.25
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $75.64
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $53.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.75
No position
Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.94
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.98
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.47
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.51
No position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.53
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.99
No position
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.21
No position
RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.19
No position
Will Donald Trump say "energy" 10 or more times during his North Carolina speech?
Ends Sep 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.83
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.38
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.44
No position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during Wisconsin rally?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.71
No position
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.64
No position
Did Kanye sell his twitter account?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.86
No position
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.1
No position
Ye divorce before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.9
No position
Pete Hegseth nomination withdrawn by Friday?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.07
No position
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $125.2
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 92% 87.76 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 93% 1,574.43 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 92% 2,797 shares
- Kash Patel out by May 31?No 89% 201.23 shares
- Kash Patel out by May 31?No 87% 311.35 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?No 86% 539.71 shares
- Kash Patel out by May 31?No 86% 728.9 shares
- Kash Patel out by May 31?No 84.9% 2,087.95 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.3% 2,369.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.3% 870 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 91% 900 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 83% 7 shares