Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $289.68
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$88.32
Polymarket Trader
SirPandamonium
0xaa3eac53050b00ff3d9359af5d00135123ea3b79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $631.82
- Realized PnL
- $555.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $99.19
- Potential payout
- $480.32
- Potential profit
- $381.13
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$26.81
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $13.13
- Potential payout
- $119.87
- Potential profit
- $106.74
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$8.87
No position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $14.67
- Potential payout
- $59.88
- Potential profit
- $45.21
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $23.61
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $31.94
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$6.39
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.55
- Potential profit
- $52.55
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.9%
- Current value
- $24.78
- Potential payout
- $50.73
- Potential profit
- $25.95
- Multiplier
- 2.05x
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $27.82
- Potential payout
- $48.39
- Potential profit
- $20.56
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $16.59
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $28.86
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
No position
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $34.98
- Potential payout
- $40.68
- Potential profit
- $5.69
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $9.98
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $32.52
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$7.18
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $31.95
- Potential payout
- $31.97
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $19.95
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $31.05
- Potential payout
- $31.2
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $11.39
No position
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $23.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $13.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.24
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.35
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.36
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.23
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.29
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $12.8
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Down position
Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.9% 40.16 shares
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.5% 42.55 shares
- Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.1% 105.26 shares
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 21.7% 105.01 shares
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 37.3% 105.01 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 45.7% 35.01 shares
- Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 19% 105.26 shares
- Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 18% 214.55 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 45.6% 17.54 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 54.4% 16.47 shares
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 31% 37.61 shares
- Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 17.3% 71.51 shares