NovaXO

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $7.42
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $6.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.94
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.03
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $4.44
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $2.28
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $2.84
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $2.28
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET