Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $633.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $66.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $17.5
Polymarket Trader
kfpanda
@CjkYuXet
0xaa46527c8328866b8992e807260eb2ba15d04a23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $642.3
- Realized PnL
- $311.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $33.6
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$11.02
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $37.6
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.38
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.29
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.97
No position
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.56
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.73
Yes position
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.64
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.01
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $8.59
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $7.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 159.86 shares
- Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 40 shares
- Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes 43.5% 40 shares
- Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes 88% 0.33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 29?No 83.1% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 23?No 90% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 22?No 91% 6.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 22?No 99.4% 5.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 23?No 80% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?No 83% 6.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 22?No 82% 7.04 shares