Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $154.69
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $54.69
Polymarket Trader
0xaA49C90d8Bc34f15F80ceD6dF5756F4baCC80721-1764851178579
0xaa49c90d8bc34f15f80ced6df5756f4bacc80721
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $810.68
- Realized PnL
- $1.16K
- Win rate
- 47.6%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $477.08
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$122.92
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $136.84
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$263.16
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $25.99
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$15.01
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$598.23
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $990.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Y
Yes position
Will another team win IEM Atlanta 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $748.8
- Potential profit
- $748.8
- User PnL
- -$1
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $626.67
- Potential profit
- $626.67
- User PnL
- -$188
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $6.58
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $519.74
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
No position
Prince Andrew released by February 19?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Prince Andrew released by February 20?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523.84
- Potential profit
- $523.84
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.01
- Potential profit
- $516.01
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $476.19
- User PnL
- -$100
Vitality position
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $473.4
- Potential profit
- $473.4
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Prince Andrew released by February 22?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430.77
- Potential profit
- $430.77
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.14
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $318.99
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.27
Norway position
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.67
Vitality position
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.03
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.58
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.77
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.07
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.41
Yes position
Services Down Parlay
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.84
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.87
Yes position
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.77
Yes position
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$31.16
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$32.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.05
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$51.82
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.29
Yes position
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$60.11
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$83.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway 74% 333.33 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 29% 370.37 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway 30% 333.33 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 27% 370.37 shares
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-26?31.5% 622.12 shares
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assists AND Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners AND Norway vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists AND Norway leading at halftime?1% 971 shares
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assists AND Norway vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists AND Norway leading at halftime?1% 971 shares
- Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes 21% 476.19 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.2% 3,125 shares
- Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32% 312.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown 1% 94.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown 53% 47.17 shares