Polymarket Trader

uafidd999

0xaa550a86bf6803e689e90474d804df2ebc25c6ae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.95K
Realized PnL: $1.47K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.01K
Potential profit: $19.01K
User PnL: -$164.98

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.91
Potential payout: $13.82K
Potential profit: $13.81K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$493.09

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $9.71K
Potential profit: $8.36K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $344.66

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $262.5
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$87.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $340.86
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: -$7.21

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.47
Potential profit: $169.47
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Democracy" 2+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.82
Potential profit: $128.82
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Election" 3+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.5
Potential profit: $123.5
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.79
Potential profit: $102.79
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "Christmas" on Jimmy Kimmel Live?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.12
Potential profit: $9.12
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $6.21
User PnL: -$4.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $968.89

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $545.45

Yes position

Will RFK drop out before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.75

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $128.57

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.5

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.39

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.34

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.13

No position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.81

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.08

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.46

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Trump" on Jimmy Kimmel Live?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.62

Kamala position

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Ends Sep 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Jimmy Kimmel Live?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45.54

Yes position

Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$480

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 99.5% 1,777.77 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 21.9% 1,589.11 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 10.3% 9,708.74 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 97.3% 102.79 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 45% 1,777.78 shares
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 13,818.57 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 10.2% 22,500 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 21.7% 2,090 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24?

Yes 80% 6.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Down 54% 9.12 shares
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Yes 8% 1,875 shares
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Yes 5% 3,000 shares