Polymarket Trader

MountainWizard

0xaa6048e93b4eb54d2ad7b89c3c6bfc45b423c581

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.68
Realized PnL: $380.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$140

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.99
Potential profit: $159.99
User PnL: -$145.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.11
Potential profit: $114.11
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $42.68
Potential payout: $71.74
Potential profit: $29.05
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $10.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.81
Potential profit: $66.81
User PnL: -$60

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 28% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 40% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 46% 21.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

No 98.7% 9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

No 86% 3.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

No 80% 175 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

No 99.6% 140 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

No 88% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Yes 21.9% 114.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

No 99.1% 123.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

No 80.8% 123.7 shares