Polymarket Trader

0xaA617a19d67d3760c08aE3E0D1c31A32b58e8006-1723526185829

0xaa617a19d67d3760c08ae3e0d1c31a32b58e8006

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $828.9
Realized PnL: $747.17
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $743.6
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $136.4
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $34.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $65.85
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: $17.05

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.35
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $18.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $81.35
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $10.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.65
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.75
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.75
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$34.69

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.2

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

No position

China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.41

No position

Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.55

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.37

No position

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.63

No position

Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.01

Yes position

ETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.99

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.8

Yes position

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.04

No position

Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.96

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.98

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

No position

Mark Zuckerberg out as Facebook CEO in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

No position

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.13

Yes position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.14

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 100 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.4% 100 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 100 shares
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Yes 10.7% 99.97 shares
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Yes 10% 10.5 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

No 64% 230 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 84.1% 649.79 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

No 63% 230 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

No 65% 335 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83% 96 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83.3% 365.85 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

No 64% 335 shares