Polymarket Trader

securebet

@germain_marcano

0xaa7a74b8c754e8aacc1ac2dedb699af0a3224d23

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $8.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 0
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Trump position

Who will win young men?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $944.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $640.29

Yes position

Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.99

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Trump position

Who will win young men?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $944.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $640.29

Yes position

Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.99

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.41

Yes position

Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.89

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 67-68°F on October 21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.6

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.15

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $203.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?

Yes 38% 120 shares
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 82% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 14?

No 29% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Yes 9.1% 30.29 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 14?

Yes 87% 55 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 14?

Yes 9% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?

Yes 10.5% 61.99 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 14?

No 60% 147 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14?

Yes 12% 34.72 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 14?

No 55.2% 308 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14?

Yes 10.9% 51 shares
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 31% 39.98 shares