Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.09K
- Potential profit
- $4.09K
- User PnL
- -$244.81
Polymarket Trader
Alwayszies
0xaa803922cd225e677c16c939129eb31c5863e4b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $688.08
- Realized PnL
- $93.29
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $128.81
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$18.4
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $346.05
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$158.38
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $213.22
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $824.33
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$120.06
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $802.83
- Potential profit
- $802.83
- User PnL
- -$96.34
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $785.92
- Potential profit
- $785.92
- User PnL
- -$196.48
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $708.35
- Potential profit
- $708.35
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $535.71
- Potential profit
- $535.71
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $377.31
- Potential profit
- $377.31
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.92
- Potential profit
- $275.92
- User PnL
- -$35.87
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.98
- Potential profit
- $110.98
- User PnL
- -$24.41
Yes position
Will New York Jets draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.58
- Potential profit
- $53.58
- User PnL
- -$49.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.71
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.32
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.7
Yes position
Will New York Jets draft Omar Cooper Jr. in the 2026 pro football draft?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$61.7
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66.67
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$269.2
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$551.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 1,292.87 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 25% 785.92 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.3% 578.03 shares
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes 3.6% 1,400 shares
- Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026Yes 40% 249.87 shares
- Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026Yes 39.2% 127.44 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 26.2% 127.25 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 6% 555.55 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 26.2% 283.32 shares
- Knicks vs. HawksKnicks 22% 108.32 shares
- Will New York Jets draft Omar Cooper Jr. in the 2026 pro football draft?Yes 93.7% 26.57 shares
- Will New York Jets draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?Yes 93.1% 53.47 shares