Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $417.21
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $17.61
Polymarket Trader
penicillin.
0xaa8a01cef1e8306a298cddc1bd77c03ec9e1990d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.12K
- Realized PnL
- $96.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $592.8
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $438.16
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $64.32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $108
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $692
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
HyperSpirit position
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.34
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $13.12
Up position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45
Yes position
Will Jim Parillo win the Legend Trade Series?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
TNC position
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs TNC (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will Jadoodoo win the Legend Trade Series?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.28
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.62
ENTERPRISE Esports position
Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Vitality.Bee position
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $685 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
KT Rolster position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bebop (-6.5) vs RUSTEC (+6.5)Bebop 0.1% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 28% 155.1 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 13% 9.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 14?No 1.5% 78.51 shares
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under 0.1% 5 shares
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under 0.1% 326.01 shares
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under 0.1% 600 shares
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under 0.1% 10.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 14?Yes 1.4% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?No 3.7% 27.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?No 6.8% 25.55 shares
- Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality - Game 5 WinnerONIC 0.1% 30 shares