No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $765
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $235
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $5
Polymarket Trader
Lucifer1707
0xaa96e15ed40ede1799a8e2501c8003be3da89592
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.4K
- Realized PnL
- $3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $330.25
- Potential payout
- $379.6
- Potential profit
- $49.35
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$7.93
Yes position
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $161.17
- Potential profit
- $155.37
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $25.65
- Potential payout
- $96.78
- Potential profit
- $71.13
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $5.32
Y
Yes position
Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $79.35
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $70.42
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.94
N
No position
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $46.95
- Potential payout
- $53.97
- Potential profit
- $7.02
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $2.7
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $39.16
- Potential payout
- $51.87
- Potential profit
- $12.71
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $19.16
No position
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $36.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Y
Yes position
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $6.44
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $39.56
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $12.15
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $32.85
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $2.7
N
No position
Over $70M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $36.59
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.9
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Y
Yes position
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $6.93
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $11.07
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
N
No position
Over $2M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $11.89
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $7.76
- Potential payout
- $8.97
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $7.85
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.32
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.14
Yes position
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.99
No position
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.29
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Celtics
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152
Yes position
Will South Africa win?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.12
Yes position
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.75
No position
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $124.06
No position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.89
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.44
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.37
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $79.62
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.35
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67
Yes position
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.14
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.99
Yes position
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.76
Yes position
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.82
USA position
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 10?Down 38.6% 51.87 shares
- Telangana T20: Karimnagar Diamonds vs Ranga Reddy RisersKarimnagar Diamonds 99.9% 161.66 shares
- Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 19% 40 shares
- Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 82% 53.97 shares
- Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 44% 18 shares
- Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 6% 85 shares
- Over $2M committed to the Credible public sale?No 19.9% 38 shares
- Over $2M committed to the Credible public sale?No 4.5% 50 shares
- Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes 9.6% 31.35 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes 3.2% 270 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes 3.6% 270 shares
- Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 2?Down 25% 18 shares