Polymarket Trader

Grodan

0xaa9f65acf563e0c257b5ba92e6d52301311f0df3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.83K
Realized PnL: $3.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $3.9K
User PnL: -$208.47

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $3.22K
User PnL: -$40.97

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$34.31

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $503.85
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $259.72

Yes position

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $227.07
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $829.06
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$65.92

Yes position

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $30.85
Potential payout: $894.06
Potential profit: $863.21
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$3.99

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $873.46
Potential profit: $873.46
User PnL: -$149.55

Yes position

Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $136.05
Potential payout: $697.67
Potential profit: $561.62
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $7.67
Potential payout: $614
Potential profit: $606.32
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$17.98

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $106
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $294
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $20.82
Potential payout: $396.56
Potential profit: $375.74
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335.51
Potential profit: $335.51
User PnL: -$204.53

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $23.41
Potential payout: $334.41
Potential profit: $311
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$26.82

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $240.9
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $89.1
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $47.2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $154.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $145.5
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$14.5

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $87.53
Potential payout: $221.6
Potential profit: $134.07
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $54.4

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $145
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $199.97
User PnL: -$77.99

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.72
Potential profit: $199.72
User PnL: -$88.91

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $169.07
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $131.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Sweden win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $108.67
Potential profit: $107.64
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $106.56
Potential payout: $107.37
Potential profit: $0.81
User PnL: $18.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.9

Yes position

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $296.37

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.44

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.5

Yes position

Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.98

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.71

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.13

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.92

Yes position

Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.25

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.87

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.75

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $137.56

Yes position

Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.12

Yes position

Will no leader be out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.45

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.33

No position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.2

Yes position

Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-13?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.99

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.56

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.25

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Yes position

Will Frida Karlsson (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 20% 73 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 10% 203.44 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 53% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 500 shares
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 11% 360 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 57% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 800 shares
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 21% 220 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.9% 300 shares