Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0xAaa03e3C08dE8921A6C503B772Bcd34D70B0dEa3-1777543275412
0xaaa03e3c08de8921a6c503b772bcd34d70b0dea3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.38
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $80.19
- Potential payout
- $82.33
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $60.19
Yes position
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $30.59
- Potential profit
- $26.62
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$25.02
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $28.82
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will Lens win Coupe de France?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $27.78
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.78
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $7.31
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $8.08
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Yes position
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $11.64
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.49
Yes position
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$4.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes 24% 83.33 shares
- Will Lens win Coupe de France?Yes 72% 27.78 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 24.3% 82.33 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 65% 15.38 shares
- Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 76% 13.16 shares
- Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 95% 21.05 shares
- Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 94.3% 9.54 shares
- Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes 34.7% 28.82 shares