Yes position
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.37
- Potential profit
- $588.37
- User PnL
- -$250
Polymarket Trader
robiwankenobi
0xaaa0d0e9ea659f65f9c287fb784c4b7c746df1cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.2
- Realized PnL
- $1.58K
- Win rate
- 27.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Celonis IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $40.2
- Potential payout
- $309.26
- Potential profit
- $269.06
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$29.8
Yes position
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.83
- Potential profit
- $263.83
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.62
- Potential profit
- $132.62
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.42
- Potential profit
- $63.42
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.55
- Potential profit
- $51.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.41
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.53
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.73
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$138.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Celonis IPO before 2027?Yes 18.5% 269.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp 7.9% 63.33 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 37% 135.14 shares
- Celonis IPO before 2027?Yes 50.8% 39.39 shares
- Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes 75.4% 132.62 shares
- Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?Yes 9.7% 51.55 shares
- Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?Yes 1.1% 263.83 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes 3.7% 1,261.6 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes 4% 1,682.13 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes 3.6% 1,880.9 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes 3.7% 2,990.46 shares
- FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes 42.5% 588.37 shares