Polymarket Trader

shrek000

0xaaa3cb40affcbd0cf667caeedfeb71e85e4eb7fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.38
Realized PnL: $246.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.65
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $30.17
Potential profit: $30.09
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$6.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $10.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $19.05
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$16.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 17% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 83.3% 93.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 58% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 9% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 61% 29.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 32% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 92% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 22% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 29.9% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 73% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 64.4% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 61% 50.79 shares