Polymarket Trader

Manumchx

0xaaa621e067198e58ee36d10214969e98bcd00bee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $190.62
Realized PnL: $888.26
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $190.62
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$8.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.67
Potential profit: $399.67
User PnL: -$97.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.3
Potential profit: $280.3
User PnL: -$75.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.67
Potential profit: $151.67
User PnL: -$97.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.68
Potential profit: $139.68
User PnL: -$69.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.27
Potential profit: $56.27
User PnL: -$20.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.74

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$157.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$338.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$376.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Down 99.9% 1,020.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Down 48% 1,020.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Down 67.3% 958.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Down 49.2% 959 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Down 61% 490.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 42.1% 766.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 39% 766.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 99% 706.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 31% 503.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 43.5% 391.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 54.5% 594.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Down 89.3% 376.19 shares