Polymarket Trader

fjy7

0xaaae780521fd9d6e9e90163f5f7ec43278a230aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $197.33
Realized PnL: $195.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $34.77
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $3.97

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $34.18
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $28.89
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $28.82
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $25.65
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $22.65
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $18.81
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Celonis IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.75

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $5.85

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Kings position

Kings vs. Mavericks

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

UNiTY esports position

Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 1AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

No 53% 50 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

No 99.9% 45.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 91.9% 49.8 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?

Yes 99.9% 71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

No 99.9% 50 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 6?

Yes 99.9% 80 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Down 99.8% 44.99 shares
Warriors vs. Nuggets

Nuggets 99.9% 45 shares
Warriors vs. Nuggets

Nuggets 94.6% 45 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

No 97% 43 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 93.8% 14 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 25?

Yes 99.9% 55 shares