Polymarket Trader

0xaab9...a08d

0xaab9f5e600a5dd88fe3a6f93313b180f6220a08d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $41.25K
Realized PnL: $133.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $110.07K
Potential profit: $108.7K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$640.39

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $108.33
Potential payout: $16.67K
Potential profit: $16.56K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$13.88

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $6.87K
Potential payout: $13.6K
Potential profit: $6.73K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.85K

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $4.81K
Potential payout: $13.36K
Potential profit: $8.55K
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $457

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $912.75
Potential payout: $12.17K
Potential profit: $11.26K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.38K

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $3.38K
Potential payout: $10.73K
Potential profit: $7.35K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$408.32

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $964.61
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $424.73

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $353.58
Potential payout: $9.43K
Potential profit: $9.08K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$513.44

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $7.72K
Potential payout: $8.72K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.16K

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.41
Potential payout: $7.41K
Potential profit: $7.41K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$161.27

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $5.55K
Potential payout: $6.45K
Potential profit: $902.74
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $280.24
Potential payout: $5.66K
Potential profit: $5.38K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $56.35

Yes position

Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$163.86

Yes position

Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$163.86

Yes position

Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$163.86

Yes position

Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$163.86

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $21.61
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $3.91K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$485.99

No position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.25K
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $263.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $952.11
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $448.9

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 33.2%
Current value: $754.9
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 3.02x
User PnL: -$97.2

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $477.73
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $188.87

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.4%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $801.06
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$552.35

Yes position

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $678.71
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$100.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.23K

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96K

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.25K

Yes position

Trump ends taxes on tips before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03K

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87K

Yes position

Will another person be next National Security Advisor?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25K

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.13K

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96K

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88K

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77K

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47K

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12K

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05K

Yes position

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86K

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.4K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Team

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

No position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 26% 198.65 shares
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by June 30?

No 94.9% 133.24 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 88% 2,000 shares
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by June 30?

No 96.9% 287.4 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 76% 3,613.83 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Yes 1.9% 269.75 shares
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by June 30?

No 92% 10 shares
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by June 30?

No 93% 26.53 shares
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by June 30?

No 94% 32.91 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 76% 1,000 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

No 19% 2,132.52 shares
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by September 30?

Yes 99.8% 101 shares