Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.25K
- Potential profit
- $7.25K
- User PnL
- -$32.49
Polymarket Trader
Gregeux
0xaabdac21fc092ad9535a62d359e0d0b778484598
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $128.26
- Realized PnL
- -$17.7
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- -$121.01
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $18.81
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.87
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$23.56
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $839.98
- Potential profit
- $839.98
- User PnL
- -$26.74
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $440
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $420
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $347.38
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $301.43
- Potential profit
- $301.43
- User PnL
- -$3.63
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $17.18
- Potential payout
- $283.9
- Potential profit
- $266.72
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.93
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $268.52
- Potential profit
- $268.52
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $19.58
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $125.43
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.37
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $104.58
- Potential profit
- $100.24
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $37.03
- Potential payout
- $44.91
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $43.04
- Potential profit
- $34.71
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $27.14
- Potential profit
- $7.19
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 33.9 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20.6% 9.71 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.3% 384.62 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 70% 7.14 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82.6% 12.11 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 10 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 4.1% 18 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 66% 20 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 10 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.4% 500 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15% 33.33 shares