Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $156
- Potential payout
- $184.62
- Potential profit
- $28.62
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$12
Polymarket Trader
Regna
@Laurie8004
0xaac6f2f66719bfc6ecea463211966b59369e6c39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $156
- Realized PnL
- $122.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.66
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.38
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 91% 184.62 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 96.2% 8.32 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No 96.7% 160.29 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes 49% 24.69 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 7% 42.62 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes 81% 24.69 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 65.8% 42.63 shares
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?No 98% 23.35 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes 75% 24 shares
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?No 98.5% 23.35 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?No 97.2% 15.11 shares
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 70% 22.14 shares