Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $160.03K
- Potential profit
- $158.99K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$442.65
Polymarket Trader
Draffa
0xaacbc9d95817074834824232a53bbfb88ff290cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.06K
- Realized PnL
- $19.83K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $77.88K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $351.38
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.71K
- Potential profit
- $62.71K
- User PnL
- -$253.72
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.8K
- Potential profit
- $53.8K
- User PnL
- -$53.8
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.01K
- Potential profit
- $40.01K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.01K
- Potential profit
- $40.01K
- User PnL
- -$70.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.55K
- Potential profit
- $39.55K
- User PnL
- -$170.84
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.53K
- Potential profit
- $32.53K
- User PnL
- -$313.7
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.02K
- Potential profit
- $30.02K
- User PnL
- -$61.09
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27K
- Potential profit
- $27K
- User PnL
- -$117.49
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.21K
- Potential profit
- $25.21K
- User PnL
- -$433.42
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.94K
- Potential profit
- $24.94K
- User PnL
- -$349.32
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.08K
- Potential profit
- $20.08K
- User PnL
- -$352.71
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.07K
- Potential profit
- $17.07K
- User PnL
- -$234.69
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.19K
- Potential profit
- $16.19K
- User PnL
- -$595.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $14K
- User PnL
- -$55.23
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $889.11
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $13.11K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $40.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.23K
- Potential profit
- $13.23K
- User PnL
- -$482.13
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $13.08
- Potential payout
- $13.08K
- Potential profit
- $13.07K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$173.46
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.65K
- Potential profit
- $12.65K
- User PnL
- -$522.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.7K
- Potential profit
- $11.7K
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.4K
- Potential profit
- $10.4K
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- User PnL
- -$83.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.54
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.95
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 29% 196.55 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 10,000 shares
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 29% 198.31 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 10,000 shares
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 29% 566.24 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.1% 400 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.2% 400 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Yes 5% 98.8 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 29 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Yes 4.8% 166.67 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 450 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 978.83 shares