Polymarket Trader

raesremmurd

0xaad1ea55e16e3110ce4cc2b52154659aa1ebb7c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.15K
Realized PnL: -$1.03K
Win rate: 27.8%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $273.83
Potential payout: $17.67K
Potential profit: $17.39K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$44.15

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $291.26
Potential payout: $17.65K
Potential profit: $17.36K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$114.74

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $17.65K
Potential profit: $15.84K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $997.06
Potential payout: $17.65K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$502.92

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $3.7K
Potential payout: $17.65K
Potential profit: $13.95K
Multiplier: 4.77x
User PnL: $855.85

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $2.41K
Potential payout: $17.65K
Potential profit: $15.24K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$432.31

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $2.6K
Potential payout: $17.64K
Potential profit: $15.04K
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $802.69
Potential payout: $17.64K
Potential profit: $16.84K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$132.29

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $17.64K
Potential profit: $16.62K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $432.11

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $17.55K
Potential profit: $16.21K
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $54.63

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $465.06
Potential payout: $17.55K
Potential profit: $17.08K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $41.07

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $205.26
Potential payout: $16.42K
Potential profit: $16.22K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$106.72

Over position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.66K
Potential profit: $6.66K
User PnL: -$4.99K

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $124.63
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $24.63

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $111.67
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $7.38
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.08

No position

Will Zama launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.87

No position

Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.52

No position

Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Over position

Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.1

Dubois position

Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Kanye launch a coin in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90.34

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$119.97

No position

Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$400

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5

Over 65% 9,230.77 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

Team Falcons 81% 3,703.83 shares
Games Total: O/U 3.5

Over 75% 6,666.67 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 16,421.05 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 17,666.67 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 17,652.17 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 17,549.46 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 17,636.36 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 17,641.51 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.3% 17,550.61 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 17,647.06 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 17,644.44 shares