Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Chersi
0xaad3fa4f7750db41b83935a155304fa6e227e666
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $852.6
- Realized PnL
- $2.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $27.48
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$22.52
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $304.57
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $829.77
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $254.57
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $160.92
- Potential payout
- $434.92
- Potential profit
- $274
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$39.08
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $14.81
- Potential payout
- $411.44
- Potential profit
- $396.63
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$25.19
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $20.35
- Potential payout
- $387.6
- Potential profit
- $367.25
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$29.65
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $111.83
- Potential payout
- $290.48
- Potential profit
- $178.64
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $51.83
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.2%
- Current value
- $51.81
- Potential payout
- $143.33
- Potential profit
- $91.52
- Multiplier
- 2.77x
- User PnL
- -$48.19
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $58.55
- Potential payout
- $96.77
- Potential profit
- $38.23
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $83.29
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $43.29
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $18.98
- Potential payout
- $40.82
- Potential profit
- $21.84
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $30.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.86
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $225.93
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.19
Yes position
Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.6
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $137.78
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $121.37
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.28x
- User PnL
- $121.07
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.77
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.19
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.87
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.46
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $52.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.96
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.76
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $37.73
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 49% 40.82 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 62% 96.77 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 48% 83.33 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 65% 30.77 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 71% 140.85 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 12.9% 387.6 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 52.5% 256.41 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,562.5 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 19.1% 83.3 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes 8.2% 130.43 shares