Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $150K
- User PnL
- -$999.9
Polymarket Trader
Tsm999
0xaadcb35627afca80decd42b154bba4c8a1cd4925
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $260
- Realized PnL
- $2.87K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.67K
- Potential profit
- $44.67K
- User PnL
- -$999.96
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.91K
- Potential profit
- $37.91K
- User PnL
- -$999.98
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.84K
- Potential profit
- $34.84K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.39K
- Potential profit
- $17.39K
- User PnL
- -$999.99
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.2K
- Potential profit
- $14.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.62K
- Potential profit
- $8.62K
- User PnL
- -$999.99
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.57K
- Potential profit
- $8.57K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Yes position
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69K
- Potential profit
- $7.69K
- User PnL
- -$999.99
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.46K
- Potential profit
- $6.46K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $260
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.74K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$740
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $512.82
- Potential profit
- $512.82
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.39
- Potential profit
- $309.39
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.87
- Potential profit
- $35.87
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.69
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.06
Yes position
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.13
Yes position
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70.06
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207.69
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 17% 11.77 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.8% 8,571.24 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes 1.4% 34,842.3 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes 2.6% 37,906.73 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes 5.8% 17,385.7 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Yes 15.5% 6,461.93 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes 11.6% 8,623.15 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes 3.9% 512.82 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?Yes 7.3% 13,646.53 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?Yes 2.2% 44,670.96 shares
- Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Yes 13% 7,692.31 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?Yes 18% 555.56 shares