No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$19.7
Polymarket Trader
Togatra
0xaadccec80218f8e4a90448549acdcc3aa226d8ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.11K
- Realized PnL
- $7.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $473.19
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $566.79
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$127.53
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $760.8
- Potential profit
- $760.8
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $398.25
- Potential payout
- $460.41
- Potential profit
- $62.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $65.23
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $259.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$21.3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $91.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $208.5
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $163.14
- Potential profit
- $156.94
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $40.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $39.2
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $38.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $19.43
- Potential payout
- $19.98
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $498.47
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.76
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $398.2
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.14
No position
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $376.91
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $361.82
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $352
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.85
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $275.59
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.2
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $223.91
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $196.35
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.55
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $180.94
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.25
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.76
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.03
Yes position
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.27
No position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.78
Yes position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.75
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.3
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 11% 59.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 4% 1,322.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 3.1% 2,129.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 3.3% 90 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 5% 407.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 1,892.39 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 43% 65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 100 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 0.2% 10,000 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No 77.4% 26.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 50% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 50 shares