Polymarket Trader

0xshuai

@bestjoy2008

0xab035443c014f07b22cbc83cad027ae69c13358b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.22
Realized PnL: $129.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $48.54
Potential profit: $43.05
Multiplier: 8.85x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $25.13
Potential profit: $23.41
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $21.75
Potential profit: $20.4
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.3%
Current value: $10.22
Potential payout: $15.91
Potential profit: $5.69
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $12.56
Potential profit: $12.48
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$8.27

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $10.75
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $10.77
Potential profit: $5.76
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.27
Multiplier: 10.99x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $6.54
Potential profit: $6.48
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$5.06

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $5.64
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $5.39
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$3.26

No position

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $5.52
Potential profit: $5.3
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $4.64
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $5.47
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.33
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $5.42
Potential profit: $5.23
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$1.21

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $3.57
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $5.37
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.6%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Trump say "Booming" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $5.31
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $5.28
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.82

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.55

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $5.12

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

No position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

No position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

No position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.74

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 99.9% 5.37 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 93% 5.38 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

No 98% 4.75 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 85% 5.32 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 89.4% 5.28 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 7.2% 8 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.9% 14.49 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 21.74 shares
Will Trump say "Booming" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 62% 5.31 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 59% 5.41 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 51% 5.41 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

No 95% 5.14 shares