No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $43.83
- Potential payout
- $203.84
- Potential profit
- $160.02
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Polymarket Trader
adrtyyy7
0xab09a8dd8743cde35b14c709620100d9f40588b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $69.49
- Realized PnL
- -$76.48
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $7.92
- Potential payout
- $40.91
- Potential profit
- $32.99
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $11.34
- Potential payout
- $34.62
- Potential profit
- $23.28
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $3.31
- Potential payout
- $34.62
- Potential profit
- $31.31
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $26.9
- Multiplier
- 9.66x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.61
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Pereira position
UFC 303: Who will win - Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka?
Ends Jun 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?
Ends Dec 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
USC position
Will USC beat Utah State?
Ends Sep 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a Republican win New Hampshire Governor Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Kamala positive favorability by Sunday?
Ends Sep 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
GPT-5 announced in Q2 2024?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 19% 203.84 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 85.8% 388.11 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 36% 32 shares
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 99.4% 150.9 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.5% 456.38 shares
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 99.4% 150.91 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.6% 456.39 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11% 40.91 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13% 34.62 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13% 34.62 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15% 30 shares
- Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?Yes 63% 12.7 shares