Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $445.5
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $10.55K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.27K
Polymarket Trader
0xab0C4B39397B6F2Bd6ed81a936399f0da95e2cA3-1767532072927
0xab0c4b39397b6f2bd6ed81a936399f0da95e2ca3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.31K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.21K
- Win rate
- 61.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- User PnL
- -$3.36K
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $292.91
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.21K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$707.09
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $284.99
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$824.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $290.08
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$223.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.76
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.82
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.59
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$730.23
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.45K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.62K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2.2% 5,600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 45% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 45% 400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 45% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 90% 1,800 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 89% 1,407.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 90% 1,391.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 85% 1,391.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 99.3% 1,191.46 shares