Polymarket Trader

WSmovin

0xab1270725bc23f1a47a95130ad00172011203683

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $158.97
Realized PnL: $10.46K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390K
Potential profit: $390K
User PnL: -$390

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5K
Potential profit: $62.5K
User PnL: -$204.94

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $88.37
Potential payout: $35.35K
Potential profit: $35.26K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$201.56

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $9.27K
User PnL: -$99.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$45.5

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $968.5
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $659.1
Potential profit: $659.1
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Yips" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $28.6
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $81.4
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$26.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783.37

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $547.62

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $539.07

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $467

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.51

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.63

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

No position

Will Trump say "Yips" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

No position

Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Rapperswil-Jona Lakers position

SNHL: Rapperswil-Jona Lakers vs. Lugano

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Lugano position

SNHL: Rapperswil-Jona Lakers vs. Lugano

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 3.1% 308.02 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 0.4% 10,000 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 0.5% 18,379.67 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 1.7% 2,352.94 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 4.7% 2,115.83 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

No 1.1% 9,272.31 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 75.7% 833.33 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Yes 0.2% 1,946.64 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Yes 2.6% 1,946.64 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 12% 833.33 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 0.1% 100,000 shares