No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $995
Polymarket Trader
Ghostmbao0O
0xab272e6842b25011615f1163589750d749e6ab66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.27K
- Realized PnL
- $1.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$995
Yes position
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $168.37
- Potential payout
- $200.44
- Potential profit
- $32.07
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $94.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $2.71
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.26
Yes position
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.09
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.65
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.78
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.44
No position
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.25
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.09
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.24
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $29.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.77
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.11
No position
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.63
Y
Yes position
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.79
No position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.19
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.67
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.55
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.85
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.13
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.47
Ninjas in Pyjamas position
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 1,807.03 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes 81% 14.44 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes 81% 115 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 100 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 101 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 59.1% 159.98 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 75.9% 38.54 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 70.5% 121.44 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 33.9% 200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 1,200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 700 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 500 shares