Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $83.48
- Potential payout
- $142.7
- Potential profit
- $59.22
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $4.99
Polymarket Trader
0xab30...746e
0xab309de075a1efcbad86667ac2c2a8ed0108746e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $254.84
- Realized PnL
- $49.72
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $64.15
- Potential payout
- $75.92
- Potential profit
- $11.77
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $45.95
- Potential profit
- $41.56
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $28.8
- Potential payout
- $45.36
- Potential profit
- $16.56
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $14.31
- Potential payout
- $33.68
- Potential profit
- $19.37
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.8%
- Current value
- $17.9
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Current value
- $13.78
- Potential payout
- $22.36
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $19.4
- Potential payout
- $19.89
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $16.17
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.51
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.13
- Potential payout
- $9.85
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.14
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $7.43
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 65.9% 58 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 0.7% 152.5 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 13% 24.93 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 95.7% 37.58 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.5% 111.84 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 60.7% 13.31 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.3% 41.42 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 17% 20.86 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 70% 75.59 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 61.85 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 87% 9.25 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 64.3% 55.32 shares