Polymarket Trader

BaileyJustinr

0xab36dd9735ad500317294e895b00e913a09c9077

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.88
Realized PnL: $236.4
Win rate: 86.7%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.17
Potential profit: $129.17
User PnL: -$69.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $9.49
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $10.13
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $8.15
Potential payout: $9.76
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.82

Oleksandra Oliynykova position

Bastad: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Moyuka Uchijima

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.09
Potential profit: $5.09
User PnL: -$3.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Jets

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.85

Donna Vekic position

Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anhelina Kalinina vs Donna Vekic

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $18

Iowa State Cyclones position

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bastad: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Moyuka Uchijima

Oleksandra Oliynykova 60.9% 5.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 53.9% 6.12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 85% 9.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 89% 11.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 79.1% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 79% 10.13 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Under 54% 129.17 shares
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

No 97.1% 2.03 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 83% 6.02 shares
Sharks vs. Jets

Sharks 41% 365.85 shares
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anhelina Kalinina vs Donna Vekic

Donna Vekic 44% 289.92 shares
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State Cyclones 78% 5.02 shares