Polymarket Trader

wrongandstupid

0xab394fe48482c2a5003ff0c629c8211004f6c22f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.15K
Realized PnL: $2.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $31.68
Potential payout: $487.32
Potential profit: $455.64
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$118.86

No position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $465.33
Potential payout: $487
Potential profit: $21.67
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $143.91

No position

Will South Korea win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $248.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $1.38
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.46
Potential profit: $243.46
User PnL: -$35.91

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241
Potential profit: $241
User PnL: -$19.28

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241
Potential profit: $241
User PnL: -$101.22

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241
Potential profit: $241
User PnL: -$23.92

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241
Potential profit: $241
User PnL: -$26.51

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.98
Potential profit: $194.98
User PnL: -$37.05

No position

Will Brazil win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $178.59
Potential payout: $191
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.78

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $191
Potential profit: $179.64
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $29.6
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $130.4
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $130
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$5.95

No position

Elon Bull Run Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $51.42
Potential payout: $53.2
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.26

Yes position

Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $53.2
Potential profit: $52.38
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $53.2
Potential profit: $52.72
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $53.2
Potential profit: $52.22
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $53.2
Potential profit: $50.67
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $53.2
Potential profit: $53.01
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $681.19

No position

Zohran Mamdani Parlay

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.65

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.74

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.43

Dodgers position

World Series Winner

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.39

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.95

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.1

No position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.35

No position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.93

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.35

Yes position

Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.65

No position

Will the Government shutdown end before October 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.78

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.06

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.82

No position

Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.99

Yes position

Fed rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.78

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.56

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.07

No position

Will Paul vs Joshua not occur by January 31?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

No position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.5% 191 shares
Will Brazil win the World Cup?

No 91% 191 shares
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 66% 487 shares
Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

No 30.9% 487.32 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will South Korea win the World Cup?

No 98.9% 250 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

No 83% 195 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

No 84% 39.78 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 15% 39.8 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

No 84% 69 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 14.1% 69 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

No 84% 134.66 shares