Polymarket Trader

goodluckyu

0xab3aa683755ac43e8933e87157c1b3b904588b66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $252.4
Realized PnL: $169.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 55.9%
Current value: $40.63
Potential payout: $72.73
Potential profit: $32.09
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $38.51
Potential payout: $59.71
Potential profit: $21.2
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $30.29
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $28.53
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $20.19
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $16.85
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$2.34

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $10.14
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $18.43
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.14

Ugo Humbert position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $28.17
User PnL: -$20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $17.73
Potential payout: $25.15
Potential profit: $7.42
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 47.9%
Current value: $10.19
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $11.09
Multiplier: 2.09x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.29
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $10.96
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $4.44
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $4.44

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $4.64
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.3
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.48
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $1.88

No position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.43
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.7

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.3

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.24
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.34

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.3

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.12

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $11.06

Yes position

Will Zach Dembo be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

No position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

No position

Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $1.1B and $1.4B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 51% 39.22 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 55% 18.18 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 65% 59.71 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 71% 54.44 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 47% 21.28 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 55% 54.55 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 72% 41.67 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 25.97 shares