Polymarket Trader

Kachow6

0xab47708e160396c929b0e637a7b176edeffabe54

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $212.65
Realized PnL: $610.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $7.52
Potential payout: $98.36
Potential profit: $90.84
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $45.88
Potential profit: $44.62
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $6.16
Potential payout: $41.49
Potential profit: $35.33
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.9%
Current value: $24.29
Potential payout: $27.65
Potential profit: $3.36
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $23.8
Potential payout: $26.89
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $17.89
Potential payout: $21.69
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.51

Over position

Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $7.94
Potential payout: $17.44
Potential profit: $9.51
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.86
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$7.86

No position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $15.86
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $7.86

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $14.39
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.39

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.1%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $13.18
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $6.86
Potential payout: $12.14
Potential profit: $5.28
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $11.84
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $11.71
Potential profit: $1.36
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $9.61
Potential payout: $10.59
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.93
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$3.93

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.3%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $7.01
Potential payout: $7.54
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.63
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.67

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.36

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.68

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.31

Under position

Fonseca vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.06

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.52

Under position

VfL Wolfsburg vs. OL Lyonnes: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.35

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.62

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.16

Alina Charaeva position

Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.16

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.08

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.61

Under position

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

No 74.6% 2.04 shares
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

No 74.5% 10.64 shares
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

No 88% 9.01 shares
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Yes 5.8% 137.24 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

No 77% 2.05 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 33% 4.33 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 22 above $285?

Yes 1.1% 10.56 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 22 above $285?

Yes 74.7% 10.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Up 31% 6.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Up 31% 24.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Down 38% 5.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Down 38% 20.13 shares