Yes position
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$193.73
Polymarket Trader
grio4j3232f3e3
0xab584089f6b5c587479ecdd0e683214d9f0bf788
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $362.19
- Realized PnL
- $4.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $359.9
- Potential payout
- $888.64
- Potential profit
- $528.74
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $20.41
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $377
- Potential profit
- $377
- User PnL
- -$35.85
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.82
- Potential profit
- $54.82
- User PnL
- -$2.19
No position
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.09
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $762.59
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $658.7
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.4
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.82
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $300.02
No position
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.74
Yes position
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Israel" during press conference?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.71
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91.67
Yes position
Will JD Vance clap between 90–99 times during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.86
Yes position
Will Mike White be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.28
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
Yes position
Will Quintavius "Q" Burdette be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.22
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Yes position
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No 37% 5 shares
- Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes 37% 400 shares
- Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No 37% 22.38 shares
- Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes 38% 179.1 shares
- Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes 38% 50 shares
- Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No 39% 145.18 shares
- Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes 38.2% 1,571.79 shares
- Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Yes 5.2% 45.53 shares
- Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Yes 14.4% 485.94 shares
- Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Yes 15.3% 344.98 shares
- Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Yes 14.9% 30 shares
- New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Yes 5.2% 1,196 shares