Polymarket Trader

hiroshisan

0xab60fa71872c514839613d0ab0c4c7a0889e4f5d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.18
Realized PnL: $29.9
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.4
Potential profit: $37.4
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$5.32

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65.4%
Current value: $16.04
Potential payout: $24.55
Potential profit: $8.51
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.5
Potential profit: $20.5
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $6.59
Potential payout: $19.02
Potential profit: $12.43
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $2.71

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$5.58

Canada position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$5.61

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $7.73
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.1
Potential profit: $14.1
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $9.19
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$7.46

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $6.22
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.74

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $3.69
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $2.31
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.9%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $5.51
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.23

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Exact Score: England 1 - 0 DR Congo?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.7%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 59.2%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.8%
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.01

Austria position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 3.9% 40 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 65.8% 16.25 shares
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 16% 15 shares
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

No 41.5% 5.36 shares
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

No 74.2% 5.41 shares
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 26% 15 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

No 1% 0.5 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

No 19.5% 25 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

No 17.3% 16 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

No 24% 25 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 76.3% 7.2 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 29% 6 shares