Polymarket Trader

DJBLAK

0xab691e92014394f640e8cb4daf84fea06dbf2283

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $708.57
Realized PnL: $3.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 57.4%
Current value: $255.83
Potential payout: $445.69
Potential profit: $189.87
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $77.54

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $214.62
Potential payout: $215.27
Potential profit: $0.65
User PnL: $14.62

No position

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $80.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $29.5

Yes position

Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.88
Potential profit: $77.88
User PnL: -$24.14

No position

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $70.34
Potential payout: $70.59
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $10.34

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $57.28
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $6.01
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.28

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will President Trump sign 7 or more pieces of legislation into law in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.73
Potential profit: $35.73
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $6.27
Potential payout: $29.15
Potential profit: $22.88
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $12.41
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $14.86
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.88
Potential profit: $19.88
User PnL: -$8.01

Yes position

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.19
Potential profit: $15.19
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $10.05
User PnL: -$7.21

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $4.06
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$2.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Megaquake by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $687.63

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.85

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.98

Yes position

Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.97

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 23?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.24

Yes position

1,400+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.51

No position

1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.4

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $189.03

No position

Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.93

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.51

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.76

Yes position

Ebola emergency by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141

Yes position

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.4

Yes position

1,475+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.11

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Yes position

Will there be at least 400 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.27

Yes position

1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.74

Yes position

Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.8

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.54

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.96

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.85

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.33

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.02

Yes position

Will Kimmel say "Apologize" or "Sorry" 5+ times during return show on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 49.8% 472.01 shares
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 20.2% 11.06 shares
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 1.2% 1,228.36 shares
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 3% 933.33 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 56.1% 55.3 shares
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 75.3% 10 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 75.2% 53.19 shares
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 17?

No 91% 63.55 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 55% 27.27 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 49% 30.61 shares
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

No 36% 50 shares