Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $109.25
- Potential payout
- $11.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.39K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Polymarket Trader
0xab6C885b3Ae051e7903198f5F99269A905A14bB7-1774836232889
0xab6c885b3ae051e7903198f5f99269a905a14bb7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $652.98
- Realized PnL
- $161.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.47
Yes position
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.6%
- Current value
- $492.43
- Potential payout
- $812.58
- Potential profit
- $320.16
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$12.57
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.16
- Potential payout
- $702.36
- Potential profit
- $699.2
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.84
Yes position
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $620.31
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $620.31
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $564.97
- Potential profit
- $564.69
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $472.14
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Yes position
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.13
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.13
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $13.36
- Potential payout
- $245.1
- Potential profit
- $231.74
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$11.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 5.4% 92.59 shares
- Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 250 shares
- Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 250 shares
- Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 625 shares
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 625 shares
- Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1% 10,000 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.5% 200 shares
- Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1% 200 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1% 1,500 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 62.1% 812.58 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 2.2% 1,136.36 shares