No position
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $579.77
- Potential profit
- $579.77
- User PnL
- -$510.2
Polymarket Trader
johanliebert
@Maker_0x
0xab8ce72565d171a73b19aa57871408e9f3f3256e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.03K
- Realized PnL
- $3.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $416.44
- Potential payout
- $566.58
- Potential profit
- $150.14
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$88.36
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $510.66
- Potential payout
- $512.97
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- User PnL
- $10.66
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$267
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $297.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- User PnL
- $51.45
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $174.67
- Potential payout
- $185.91
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $24.67
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $185
- User PnL
- -$151.7
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $161.72
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $61.72
No position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132
- Potential profit
- $132
- User PnL
- -$99
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $122.58
- Potential payout
- $122.64
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $22.58
No position
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$97.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $114.94
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.47
- Potential profit
- $114.47
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $108.55
- Potential payout
- $111.51
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.55
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $107.97
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.97
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $78.77
- Potential payout
- $79.37
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $28.77
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $50.79
- Potential payout
- $50.86
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898.4
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.19
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.1
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.9
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.59
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.53
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.11
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.11
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.19
No position
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
No position
Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.96
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.03
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.44
No position
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.88
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
No position
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.4
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.22
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.23
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No 89.7% 111.51 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 81% 120 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 87.4% 114.47 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 76% 131.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 114.94 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.8% 119.33 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 84% 119.05 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 74.8% 66.87 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 76.9% 130.04 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?No 90% 44.44 shares
- Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?No 93.4% 53.51 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?No 94.6% 52.85 shares