No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $65
Polymarket Trader
feroxa55
0xaba21967e1b1e5fc3d032516bd14dda7f25180f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $229.02
- Realized PnL
- $33.99
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $103.85
- Potential payout
- $112.88
- Potential profit
- $9.03
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $32.82
No position
Will Google reach $310 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
ChatGPT Outage by April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.98
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- User PnL
- -$19.59
No position
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.47
- Potential profit
- $27.47
- User PnL
- -$19.78
No position
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $185?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $15.79
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Election" 4+ times during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
No position
Will JD Vance say "Crazy" during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Hungary" or "Hungarian" 8+ times during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Trump" during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $590 on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will JD Vance say "Rigged" during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Google dip to $280 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 62.9% 112.88 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 20% 250 shares
- Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?No 81.6% 22.59 shares
- Will JD Vance say "Hungary" or "Hungarian" 8+ times during meetings with Orbán?Yes 70.5% 14.18 shares
- Will JD Vance say "Rigged" during meetings with Orbán?No 87.1% 11.48 shares
- Will JD Vance say "Trump" during meetings with Orbán?Yes 85% 17.65 shares
- Will JD Vance say "Crazy" during meetings with Orbán?No 64.4% 15.54 shares
- Will JD Vance say "Election" 4+ times during meetings with Orbán?Yes 38.9% 25.71 shares
- Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during meetings with Orbán?No 62% 16.13 shares
- Will JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- ChatGPT Outage by April 10?No 72% 27.47 shares
- ChatGPT Outage by April 17?No 49% 39.98 shares